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Advanced analytics for NCAA football betting odds
When the spread moves 3+ points toward the favorite in games with 7-9.5 point spreads, the favorites cover at a 57.3% rate.
Teams that are 3+ point favorites that see no line movement cover at a 51.4% clip, providing a slight edge.
When the total drops by 2+ points from opening, the under hits at a 54.7% rate across nearly 800 historical games.